[STBI-20-04-2017] Institutional quality, macro excessive liquidity and stock market volatility: empirical evidences from emerging market

Presenters: Su Dinh Thanh – dinhthanh@ueh.edu.vn

Journal of Economics Development, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City

Nguyen Phuc Canhcanhnguyen@ueh.edu.vn

School of Banking, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City

 Time: 11:00 am 20th April 2017

Venue: 1A Hoang Dieu Street. Phu Nhuan District. Ho Chi Minh city

Abstract

The relationship between monetary policy and stock market is still argument in the literature, especially in emerging countries. The study investigates the relationship between institutional quality, macro liquidity excessive and stock market volatility, in which macro liquidity excessive is used as a proxy for monetary policy. Using a panel data of 32 emerging markets in the period of 2002 – 2013 and employing Sys GMM estimation, the study finds that the relationship between macro liquidity excessive and stock volatility is significantly negative. Interestingly, when interacting with institutional quality variables, namely regulatory quality and law indicator, the effects of institutions on stock returns are significantly negative. That means that institution quality moderates the effect of macro liquidity excessive on stock market volatility, implying that emerging countries should attend to improving institutional quality to reduce stock market volatility.

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